Cynthia's Ambition Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Brilliant Stars Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Cynthia's Ambition is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 135 packs. That costs around 1127 €, while the current single price is 7.39 €.

Pull Rate

1:195

Single price

7.39 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

8.35 €

per Brilliant Stars pack

Packs for 50% chance

135

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Cynthia's Ambition at a glance

Cynthia's Ambition is a Ultra Rare from Brilliant Stars with an estimated pull rate of 1:195 packs. At the current booster price of 8.35 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 1127 €, compared with a current single price of 7.39 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Cynthia's Ambition?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	135	1127 €	+1120 €
75% Chance	270	2255 €	+2247 €
90% Chance	448	3741 €	+3733 €
99% Chance	895	7473 €	+7466 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Cynthia's Ambition

If you specifically want Cynthia's Ambition from Brilliant Stars, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 0.513% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 135 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

Data sources and estimate quality

Community-aggregated data. Primary source: Reddit u/ABkCkay (720 packs, 20 boxes, r/PokemonTCG) corroborated by Reddit u/Boring-Journalist-66 (1,034 packs) and PokéPatch/DigitalTQ synthesis. Holo Rare V rate (~1-in-5) derived from avg 6-8 V hits per 36-pack box. VSTAR at ~1.5%/pack and Secret Rare at ~1.9%/pack per Reddit 720-pack dataset. Ultra Rare covers full-art V, full-art VSTAR, alt-art, full-art trainers, and rainbow rares combined (~6-10 per box per Bleeding Cool multi-box quest). VMAX is rarer than VSTAR per Bleeding Cool Pull Rate Quest (multiple boxless results). EU single-pack RRP estimated at €4.50 (standard SWSH-era retail). Limitlesstcg.com does not publish set pull-rate tables for this set. Data confidence: MEDIUM — sample sizes >1,000 packs exist but exact rarity-tier breakdowns vary by source.

FAQ about Cynthia's Ambition from Brilliant Stars

What is the pull rate of Cynthia's Ambition in Brilliant Stars?

The estimated pull rate of Cynthia's Ambition in Brilliant Stars is 0.513% per booster, roughly 1 out of 195 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Brilliant Stars packs do I need for Cynthia's Ambition?

For a 50% chance you need about 135 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 448 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Cynthia's Ambition as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Cynthia's Ambition as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:195 mean for Cynthia's Ambition?

1:195 means that, on average, one copy of Cynthia's Ambition is estimated to appear per 195 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Cynthia's Ambition by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Brilliant Stars

Brilliant Stars pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026