Dialga Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Evolving Skies Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Dialga is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 69 packs. That costs around 2341 €, while the current single price is 1.18 €.

Pull Rate

1:100

Single price

1.18 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

33.93 €

per Evolving Skies pack

Packs for 50% chance

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Dialga at a glance

Dialga is a Holo Rare from Evolving Skies with an estimated pull rate of 1:100 packs. At the current booster price of 33.93 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 2341 €, compared with a current single price of 1.18 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Dialga?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	69	2341 €	+2340 €
75% Chance	138	4682 €	+4681 €
90% Chance	230	7804 €	+7803 €
99% Chance	459	15574 €	+15573 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Dialga

If you specifically want Dialga from Evolving Skies, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 1.000% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 69 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

Data sources and estimate quality

Community data: Holo Rare ~1:5 and Ultra Rare (Full Art V/VMAX/Supporter/Alt Art V combined) ~1:5 from riporfliptcg.com (sourcing pack-kingdom.com + digitaltq.com, ~630 packs sampled); Holo Rare V ~10% and Holo Rare VMAX ~5-6% from deltiasgaming.com community estimates; Secret Rare (Rainbow Rare + Gold Rare + Alt Art VMAX) ~1:42–1:48 from riporfliptcg.com/cardrake.com (10,000+ pack community aggregate). Ultra Rare here covers Full Art V/Supporters/Alt Art V only (excl. VMAX Full Arts counted under Holo Rare VMAX); Alt Art VMAX ~1:500+ per misprint.com. TCGPlayer opened ~8,000 packs (referenced via infinitechaostcg/TikTok). No Limitless TCG data available for this set. packPriceEur reflects original 2021 EU retail MSRP; set is now out of print and secondary market prices are significantly higher.

FAQ about Dialga from Evolving Skies

What is the pull rate of Dialga in Evolving Skies?

The estimated pull rate of Dialga in Evolving Skies is 1.000% per booster, roughly 1 out of 100 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Evolving Skies packs do I need for Dialga?

For a 50% chance you need about 69 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 230 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Dialga as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Dialga as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:100 mean for Dialga?

1:100 means that, on average, one copy of Dialga is estimated to appear per 100 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Dialga by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Evolving Skies

Evolving Skies pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026