Frosmoth Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Shining Fates Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Frosmoth is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 7 packs. That costs around 73 €, while the current single price is 0.23 €.

Pull Rate

1:10

Single price

0.23 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

10.38 €

per Shining Fates pack

Packs for 50% chance

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Frosmoth at a glance

Frosmoth is a Holo Rare from Shining Fates with an estimated pull rate of 1:10 packs. At the current booster price of 10.38 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 73 €, compared with a current single price of 0.23 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Frosmoth?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	7	73 €	+72 €
75% Chance	14	145 €	+145 €
90% Chance	22	228 €	+228 €
99% Chance	44	457 €	+456 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Frosmoth

If you specifically want Frosmoth from Shining Fates, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 10.000% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 7 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Frosmoth from Shining Fates

What is the pull rate of Frosmoth in Shining Fates?

The estimated pull rate of Frosmoth in Shining Fates is 10.000% per booster, roughly 1 out of 10 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Shining Fates packs do I need for Frosmoth?

For a 50% chance you need about 7 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 22 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Frosmoth as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Frosmoth as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:10 mean for Frosmoth?

1:10 means that, on average, one copy of Frosmoth is estimated to appear per 10 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Frosmoth by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Shining Fates

Shining Fates pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026