Cinderace VMAX Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Shining Fates Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Cinderace VMAX is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 55 packs. That costs around 571 €, while the current single price is 1.91 €.

Pull Rate

1:79

Single price

1.91 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

10.38 €

per Shining Fates pack

Packs for 50% chance

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Cinderace VMAX at a glance

Cinderace VMAX is a Holo Rare VMAX from Shining Fates with an estimated pull rate of 1:79 packs. At the current booster price of 10.38 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 571 €, compared with a current single price of 1.91 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Cinderace VMAX?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	55	571 €	+569 €
75% Chance	110	1142 €	+1140 €
90% Chance	182	1889 €	+1887 €
99% Chance	364	3778 €	+3776 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Cinderace VMAX

If you specifically want Cinderace VMAX from Shining Fates, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 1.260% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 55 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Cinderace VMAX from Shining Fates

What is the pull rate of Cinderace VMAX in Shining Fates?

The estimated pull rate of Cinderace VMAX in Shining Fates is 1.260% per booster, roughly 1 out of 79 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Shining Fates packs do I need for Cinderace VMAX?

For a 50% chance you need about 55 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 182 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Cinderace VMAX as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Cinderace VMAX as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:79 mean for Cinderace VMAX?

1:79 means that, on average, one copy of Cinderace VMAX is estimated to appear per 79 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Cinderace VMAX by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Shining Fates

Shining Fates pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026