Machamp Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Champion's Path Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Machamp is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 7 packs. That costs around 100 €, while the current single price is 0.25 €.

Pull Rate

1:10

Single price

0.25 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

14.35 €

per Champion's Path pack

Packs for 50% chance

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Machamp at a glance

Machamp is a Holo Rare from Champion's Path with an estimated pull rate of 1:10 packs. At the current booster price of 14.35 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 100 €, compared with a current single price of 0.25 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Machamp?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	7	100 €	+100 €
75% Chance	14	201 €	+201 €
90% Chance	22	316 €	+315 €
99% Chance	44	631 €	+631 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Machamp

If you specifically want Machamp from Champion's Path, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 10.000% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 7 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

Data sources and estimate quality

Rates derived from community data: ~1,500-pack sample by cardzardgaming (via @PokemonTCG_Deals / Instagram), cross-referenced with TCGbites.com per-card pull rate listings and ThePriceDex.com community estimates. Champion's Path has NO standalone booster packs — packs are only available inside bundled products (ETBs, Pin Collections, etc.); packPriceEur is an implied per-pack cost from the EU ETB (~€60–€80 / 10 packs). Holo Rare slot is guaranteed holo-or-better per pack (confirmed by Bleeding Cool set analysis). V/VMAX/UR/SR rates are estimated from per-card rates multiplied by card counts in each rarity tier. Secret Rare includes 5 Rainbow Rares + 2 Shiny Secrets (~0.41% each per TCGbites). Sample size is adequate (1,500 packs) but note this is a special/limited set with distribution variance.

FAQ about Machamp from Champion's Path

What is the pull rate of Machamp in Champion's Path?

The estimated pull rate of Machamp in Champion's Path is 10.000% per booster, roughly 1 out of 10 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Champion's Path packs do I need for Machamp?

For a 50% chance you need about 7 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 22 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Machamp as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Machamp as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:10 mean for Machamp?

1:10 means that, on average, one copy of Machamp is estimated to appear per 10 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Machamp by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Champion's Path

Champion's Path pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026