Sonia Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Rebel Clash Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Sonia is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 125 packs. That costs around 1138 €, while the current single price is 17.91 €.

Pull Rate

1:180

Single price

17.91 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

9.10 €

per Rebel Clash pack

Packs for 50% chance

125

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Sonia at a glance

Sonia is a Ultra Rare from Rebel Clash with an estimated pull rate of 1:180 packs. At the current booster price of 9.10 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 1138 €, compared with a current single price of 17.91 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Sonia?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	125	1138 €	+1120 €
75% Chance	249	2266 €	+2248 €
90% Chance	414	3767 €	+3749 €
99% Chance	827	7526 €	+7508 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Sonia

If you specifically want Sonia from Rebel Clash, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 0.556% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 125 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

Data sources and estimate quality

No dedicated high-sample Rebel Clash (swsh2) pull rate dataset found on LimitlessTCG, DigitalTQ, or Reddit. Rates are estimated from SWSH-era pack structure (1 guaranteed rare+ slot per pack, 36-pack box norms), set composition (192 main + 17 Secret Rares, 15 V, 7 VMAX), and cross-set community data (ExpertBeacon, DigitalTQ Brilliant Stars/Vivid Voltage). Holo Rare V ~1-in-4.5 packs, VMAX ~1-in-9, Ultra Rare (Full Art V/Trainer) ~1-in-10, Secret Rare ~1-in-36 (1 per box). Holo Rare fills the rare slot when no hit lands (~50% of packs). Sample size: no single community dataset >500 packs confirmed for this specific set. Treat all rates as SWSH-era estimates, not directly measured values. EU pack price based on ~€4.50 launch MSRP (current aftermarket singles can be €5–€6).

FAQ about Sonia from Rebel Clash

What is the pull rate of Sonia in Rebel Clash?

The estimated pull rate of Sonia in Rebel Clash is 0.556% per booster, roughly 1 out of 180 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Rebel Clash packs do I need for Sonia?

For a 50% chance you need about 125 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 414 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Sonia as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Sonia as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:180 mean for Sonia?

1:180 means that, on average, one copy of Sonia is estimated to appear per 180 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Sonia by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Rebel Clash

Rebel Clash pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026