Radiant Steelix Pokémon card from Lost Origin
swsh11 · RR · #124/196

Lost Origin

Radiant Steelix Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Lost Origin Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Radiant Steelix is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 37 packs. That costs around 354 €, while the current single price is 0.81 €.

Pull Rate

1:54

Single price

0.81 €

Booster price

9.57 €

per Lost Origin pack

Packs for 50% chance

37

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Radiant Steelix at a glance

Radiant Steelix is a Radiant Rare from Lost Origin with an estimated pull rate of 1:54 packs. At the current booster price of 9.57 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 354 €, compared with a current single price of 0.81 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Radiant Steelix?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

ChancePacksPack CostDiff vs. Buy
50% Chance37354 € +353 €
75% Chance74708 € +707 €
90% Chance1231177 € +1176 €
99% Chance2452345 € +2344 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Radiant Steelix

If you specifically want Radiant Steelix from Lost Origin, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 1.867% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 37 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Radiant Steelix from Lost Origin

What is the pull rate of Radiant Steelix in Lost Origin?

The estimated pull rate of Radiant Steelix in Lost Origin is 1.867% per booster, roughly 1 out of 54 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Lost Origin packs do I need for Radiant Steelix?

For a 50% chance you need about 37 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 123 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Radiant Steelix as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Radiant Steelix as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:54 mean for Radiant Steelix?

1:54 means that, on average, one copy of Radiant Steelix is estimated to appear per 54 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Radiant Steelix by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Lost Origin

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026