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Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Pokémon card from Astral Radiance
swsh10 · HR · #040/189

Astral Radiance

Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Astral Radiance Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 87 packs. That costs around 580 €, while the current single price is 1.27 €.

Pull Rate

1:125

Single price

1.27 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

6.67 €

per Astral Radiance pack

Packs for 50% chance

87

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR at a glance

Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is a Holo Rare VSTAR from Astral Radiance with an estimated pull rate of 1:125 packs. At the current booster price of 6.67 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 580 €, compared with a current single price of 1.27 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

ChancePacksPack CostDiff vs. Buy
50% Chance87580 € +579 €
75% Chance1731154 € +1153 €
90% Chance2871914 € +1913 €
99% Chance5743829 € +3827 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR

If you specifically want Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 0.800% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 87 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR from Astral Radiance

What is the pull rate of Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR in Astral Radiance?

The estimated pull rate of Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR in Astral Radiance is 0.800% per booster, roughly 1 out of 125 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Astral Radiance packs do I need for Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?

For a 50% chance you need about 87 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 287 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:125 mean for Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR?

1:125 means that, on average, one copy of Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR is estimated to appear per 125 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Origin Forme Palkia VSTAR by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Astral Radiance

Astral Radiance pull ratesView all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: May 10, 2026