Charizard ex Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Obsidian Flames Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Charizard ex is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 124 packs. That costs around 745 €, while the current single price is 17.78 €.

Pull Rate

1:179

Single price

17.78 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

6.01 €

per Obsidian Flames pack

Packs for 50% chance

124

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Charizard ex at a glance

Charizard ex is a Ultra Rare from Obsidian Flames with an estimated pull rate of 1:179 packs. At the current booster price of 6.01 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 745 €, compared with a current single price of 17.78 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Charizard ex?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	124	745 €	+727 €
75% Chance	248	1490 €	+1473 €
90% Chance	412	2476 €	+2458 €
99% Chance	823	4946 €	+4928 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Charizard ex

If you specifically want Charizard ex from Obsidian Flames, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 0.558% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 124 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Charizard ex from Obsidian Flames

What is the pull rate of Charizard ex in Obsidian Flames?

The estimated pull rate of Charizard ex in Obsidian Flames is 0.558% per booster, roughly 1 out of 179 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Obsidian Flames packs do I need for Charizard ex?

For a 50% chance you need about 124 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 412 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Charizard ex as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Charizard ex as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:179 mean for Charizard ex?

1:179 means that, on average, one copy of Charizard ex is estimated to appear per 179 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Charizard ex by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Obsidian Flames

Obsidian Flames pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: Jun 10, 2026