Arven Pokémon card from Scarlet & Violet
sv01 · SIR · #249/198

Scarlet & Violet

Arven Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Scarlet & Violet Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Arven is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 224 packs. That costs around 1149 €, while the current single price is 0.31 €.

Pull Rate

1:323

Single price

0.31 €

Booster price

5.13 €

per Scarlet & Violet pack

Packs for 50% chance

224

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Arven at a glance

Arven is a Special Illustration Rare from Scarlet & Violet with an estimated pull rate of 1:323 packs. At the current booster price of 5.13 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 1149 €, compared with a current single price of 0.31 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Arven?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

ChancePacksPack CostDiff vs. Buy
50% Chance2241149 € +1149 €
75% Chance4472293 € +2293 €
90% Chance7423806 € +3806 €
99% Chance14847613 € +7613 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Arven

If you specifically want Arven from Scarlet & Violet, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 0.310% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 224 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Arven from Scarlet & Violet

What is the pull rate of Arven in Scarlet & Violet?

The estimated pull rate of Arven in Scarlet & Violet is 0.310% per booster, roughly 1 out of 323 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Scarlet & Violet packs do I need for Arven?

For a 50% chance you need about 224 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 742 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Arven as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Arven as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:323 mean for Arven?

1:323 means that, on average, one copy of Arven is estimated to appear per 323 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Arven by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Scarlet & Violet

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: Jun 10, 2026