Mega Charizard X ex Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Phantasmal Flames Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Mega Charizard X ex is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 142 packs. That costs around 1191 €, while the current single price is 27.95 €.

Pull Rate

1:205

Single price

27.95 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

8.39 €

per Phantasmal Flames pack

Packs for 50% chance

142

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Mega Charizard X ex at a glance

Mega Charizard X ex is a Ultra Rare from Phantasmal Flames with an estimated pull rate of 1:205 packs. At the current booster price of 8.39 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 1191 €, compared with a current single price of 27.95 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Mega Charizard X ex?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	142	1191 €	+1163 €
75% Chance	284	2383 €	+2355 €
90% Chance	471	3952 €	+3924 €
99% Chance	941	7895 €	+7867 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Mega Charizard X ex

If you specifically want Mega Charizard X ex from Phantasmal Flames, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 0.488% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 142 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Mega Charizard X ex from Phantasmal Flames

What is the pull rate of Mega Charizard X ex in Phantasmal Flames?

The estimated pull rate of Mega Charizard X ex in Phantasmal Flames is 0.488% per booster, roughly 1 out of 205 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Phantasmal Flames packs do I need for Mega Charizard X ex?

For a 50% chance you need about 142 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 471 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Mega Charizard X ex as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Mega Charizard X ex as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:205 mean for Mega Charizard X ex?

1:205 means that, on average, one copy of Mega Charizard X ex is estimated to appear per 205 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Mega Charizard X ex by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Phantasmal Flames

Phantasmal Flames pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: Jun 19, 2026