Mega Mawile ex Pull Rate: Buy the Single or Open Mega Evolution Boosters?

For this card, buying the single is statistically the smarter choice. Based on the current pull rate, single price, and booster price, opening packs for one specific Mega Mawile ex is expected to cost more than buying the card directly.

Recommendation

Buying the single is currently the smarter price decision

For a 50% chance to pull this card you need roughly 185 packs. That costs around 1141 €, while the current single price is 3.23 €.

Pull Rate

1:267

Single price

3.23 €

Cardmarket ↗ TCGplayer ↗

Booster price

6.17 €

per Mega Evolution pack

Packs for 50% chance

185

Estimated packs for a 50% chance to pull this card.

Mega Mawile ex at a glance

Mega Mawile ex is a Ultra Rare from Mega Evolution with an estimated pull rate of 1:267 packs. At the current booster price of 6.17 €, reaching a 50% pull chance would cost about 1141 €, compared with a current single price of 3.23 €.

How many packs for a chance to pull Mega Mawile ex?

Compare probability thresholds, estimated pack counts, and expected pack cost against buying the single.

Chance	Packs	Pack Cost	Diff vs. Buy
50% Chance	185	1141 €	+1138 €
75% Chance	370	2283 €	+2280 €
90% Chance	615	3795 €	+3791 €
99% Chance	1229	7583 €	+7580 €

These pack counts are probability thresholds, not guarantees. A 50% chance means that, statistically, comparable openings would hit the card about half the time by that point.

Buy vs. pull analysis for Mega Mawile ex

If you specifically want Mega Mawile ex from Mega Evolution, buying the single is currently the lower-cost option based on the available data. The estimated pull rate is 0.374% per pack, so even reaching a 50% chance requires about 185 boosters.

Opening packs can still make sense if you enjoy the experience, want multiple cards from the set, or value the entertainment of ripping sealed product. As a pure single-card decision, the calculator compares the expected pack cost with the current market price of the card.

FAQ about Mega Mawile ex from Mega Evolution

What is the pull rate of Mega Mawile ex in Mega Evolution?

The estimated pull rate of Mega Mawile ex in Mega Evolution is 0.374% per booster, roughly 1 out of 267 packs. This is an estimate, not a guarantee.

How many Mega Evolution packs do I need for Mega Mawile ex?

For a 50% chance you need about 185 packs. For a 90% chance you need about 615 packs. These are probability thresholds, not guaranteed results.

Should I buy Mega Mawile ex as a single?

Based on the current pull rate, booster price, and single price, buying Mega Mawile ex as a single is currently the statistically smarter price decision.

What does 1:267 mean for Mega Mawile ex?

1:267 means that, on average, one copy of Mega Mawile ex is estimated to appear per 267 booster packs. You could pull it earlier, later, or not at all within that number of packs.

Can I guarantee pulling Mega Mawile ex by opening enough packs?

No. Booster packs are random, and no pack count can guarantee a specific card. Higher pack counts only increase the probability.

More from Mega Evolution

Mega Evolution pull rates View all Pokémon TCG pull rate sets

The displayed single price is based on the selected market data source where available. External links let you compare current listings on Cardmarket and TCGplayer.

Pull rates are estimates based on available data. Booster openings are random, and actual results can be better or worse than the calculated probability.

Prices updated: Jun 16, 2026